In this Issue:
- artnet’s Q1 Results: When will artnet correct its downturn?
- Collectors Universe Q3 Results: Perfect Timing for Expansion
- Skate’s Art Stocks Index
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Beijing Poly International Auction Co. Ltd is not even seven years old, but it is the world’s third largest auction house, selling RMB 12.2 billion worth of art (USD 1.9 billion) in 2011. It remains in the third spot so far this year, trailing behind Sotheby’s and Christie’s in terms of trading volume.
Skate’s covered the rise of Poly on July 26, 2011, and this week we learned the latest updates from the company concerning their strategy and vision going forward.
So far Poly’s business has been squarely focused on Asia, specifically on China where the absolute majority of its art-buying clients reside. The firm acknowledges that its meteoric rise could have not been possible without backing from its parent, China Poly Group Corporation, a diversified state-owned holding group with commercial interests in industries ranging from arms to culture. This support, which includes funding for the Poly Art Museum—the largest corporate museum in China—has helped to build up domestic demand for the Chinese artworks that are Poly’s primary offering. It is also helping Poly to achieve its first strategic objective, which has been to put Beijing on the map as one of the world’s art trading capitals.
Poly currently trades in four auction categories: ancient Chinese art and calligraphy, pre-modern art and calligraphy, contemporary art, and antiques. It does well in each of these categories, eating away market share from the world’s major auction houses in the Chinese art segment (the fastest growing globally) and efficiently blocking attempts of smaller rivals like Philips with their BRIC strategy to venture in the category.
Poly’s strategy was timed perfectly. The surge of Chinese art acquisitions could have brought a bounty of revenue and profitability growth to international auctioneers, but instead thanks to efforts from Poly and smaller auctions like China Guardian (incidentally, a name that is itself very characteristic of a Chinese art market strategy) it helped to create a powerful domestic art auction industry in the emerging world’s superpower. This new Chinese industry now intends to go global; China Guardian was the first to set up operations in New York, and Poly has just followed.
Beijing Poly International Auction Co. Ltd is smart in its approach to global expansion. It began by educating the global art market community about the strength of its domestic distribution capabilities for Chinese art. Just a few years ago when Christie’s wanted to auction famous fountainhead bronzes in Paris it ran into considerable controversy as official China attempted to block the sale. The Chinese now put forward purely economic arguments for consignors—why consign important Chinese works to global auctions if Chinese auctioneers offer better sales channels? Poly has spared no expense in proving this point, sending its marketing team to European cities this summer to educate potential consigners about the company’s distribution capabilities. Poly intends to play aggressively in New York as well, having purchased real estate for its New York headquarters on West 44th Street and establishing a fully staffed office to focus on U.S. expansion, specifically the sourcing of Chinese material from the vast community of U.S.-resident Chinese and American collectors of Chinese art, clearly the largest international source of Chinese works of art.
This strategy will work. Poly should be recognized as a lasting and increasingly global force in the international auction business. Move ahead four or five years, and Beijing Poly International Auction Co. Ltd will greatly dominate the global trade in Chinese art by adding a strong client roster of international consigners to its domestic Chinese buy-side clientele, the firm’s original competitive advantage. This growth will set the stage for Poly to challenge the high-end market oligopoly of Sotheby’s and Christie’s. Unless the powerful duo of global auctions established in the 18th century finds a way to defend its market position and discover new sources of growth, the seven year-old Chinese rival will increasingly depress Sotheby’s and Christie’s equity story well before it starts hiring away key employees in New York.
We continue to expect that Poly will go public soon. Although Beijing Poly International Auction Co. Ltd officials declined to comment on the matter, it really does make sense for Poly to float its shares as it starts Western expansion. It could benefit from exceptionally favorable valuations for art stocks, as was recently proven by the IPOs of Abbey House in Poland and Weng Fine Art in Germany. That said, the art market is not the place where one necessarily needs to be transparent about ownership. We just observed Frieze get away with its entry into the New York art fair market without even being asked about the funding sources behind the lavish Randall Island extravaganza. Frieze is notoriously secretive about its beneficial owners, and in that context Poly can well be called a model of transparency: it is a Chinese government sponsored international expansion of the art trade and Chinese cultural mission executed by a Beijing-headquartered firm beneficially owned by Chinese state. It’s as simple as that. Now, the company is in New York.
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The proud city of Krefeld, located in the heartland of German manufacturing, lost its last publicly traded company on March 16, 2009 when the locally headquartered industrial conglomerate Jagenberg AG decided to go private. Had the citizens of Krefeld been asked what industry would return them to the global map of listed companies, common answers would likely have focused on new technologies, high precision manufacturing, top quality steel, chemicals, new materials and other areas for which North Rhine-Westphalia is famous. Such suggestions would have been wrong, however, as the Krefeld based company that went public today is an art dealer.
Although unexpected for Krefeld, North Rhine-Westphalia is not necessarily a strange place to host a successful art dealer. “The old money” German land is rivaled only by Bavaria in terms of wealth concentration and significant art collections. Krefeld is a short 20-minute drive from Düsseldorf, a vibrant global city of culture. The area is certainly a fertile ground for building an art business, and Weng Fine Art AG has clearly seized a major opportunity.
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Welcome to Skate’s Annual Art Investment Report — published by Skate’s Art Market Research since 2006, this report covers global art market trends and provides forecasts for the coming year. In the first part of the report, we have looked at art market as consumer good industry and ranked online art trading platforms operating around the world – Please click here to read Skate’s Annual Report Part 1.
In this second part we focus on the high end of global art market and global art industry companies performance in 2011:
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New Art Industry Stock to be Listed in Germany
Polish Abbey House’s very successful IPO earlier this year (the firm’s share price is up 270% in PLN terms since May) was clearly an inspiration for many art industry entrepreneurs. Skate’s has learned that at least one such entrepreneur is about to follow with a listing shortly; Weng Fine Art AG, a well-established art dealer from Krefeld, Germany is set to be the first listing on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange in 2012 when its shares will be admitted to trading on January 3, 2012. Skate’s is currently reviewing Weng Fine Art’s application to Skate’s Art Stock Index. If granted the firm would become the 14th constituent company in the index and the second after artnet to come from Germany (another German firm, Berlin-based photography dealer and fund CameraWork, was excluded from the index earlier this year due to lack of trading).
Weng Fine Art is an international art dealer focused on B2B art trading and established and managed by former financier Rüdiger Weng, who owns 87% of the firm’s shares with the balance owned by individual shareholders. The listing on January 3, 2012 will provide liquidity to those shareholders; no new equity offering is scheduled to take place at that time, although a capital increase for Weng Fine Art is likely to take place later in 2012 and will be executed in a form of a public offering on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
Skate’s will publish its index decision together with a very detailed profile of Weng Fine Art AG on December 26, 2011.
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Following October’s strong auction results, sales in November brought still more record prices, reflecting the robust conditions on the global art market. Successful sales of Impressionist and Modern art, which turned out more favorably for Sotheby’s than for Christie’s this time, were followed by a vast offering of Contemporary art from both leading auction houses. Apart from the numerous new records that were set for individual artists’ markets and mediums during these sales, the auctions’ repeat sales results and the impressive investment return figures deserve special focus, as they reflect even better the health of the market.
During the first two days of November, Skate’s Top 5000 saw 43 new entries from Sotheby’s and Christie’s Impressionist and Modern art sales; the total trading volume of these works stood at $277.7 mln. Eleven of these entries were repeat sales, which saw an incredibly high average effective rate of return (ERR) of 10.16%. The weighted average ERR for Skate’s Top 5000 artworks now stands at 4.88% on an annualized basis, which is an all-time high….
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The traditional mismatch between Sotheby’s robust auction volumes and the firm’s third-quarter loss-making financials, which were released at the same time (this week, actually), causes us to pose a legitimate question: while the auction has clearly been the best art industry business model to date (eight of the 13 constituent companies in Skate’s Art Stock Index have art auctions contributing to at least part of their economics), one may wonder if there is a better way to make money in the art industry. Can a company do better than living from one peak season to another, losing money between auctions and staking a significant part of its fortune on a single week of trade several times a year?
Skate’s believes that yes, there is a better model out there. It is currently practiced in the low-key world of collectibles and has not yet migrated to fine art market. The fine art market would be better off if it did.
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