Insights into the Premium Market for Zao Wou-Ki’s Artworks

April 23, 2013

On April 9, the art world lost one of the most prominent artists of a generation. Zao Wou‐Ki, an abstract painter with mixed French and Chinese heritage, passed away at 93. During his life Zao Wou‐Ki had the opportunity to observe the incredible performance of his artworks on the international auction market. He was the 5th most valuable living artist worldwide and the 56th most valuable artist in general, according to Skate’s Top 5000.

The premium market for Zao Wou‐Ki was formed in 2006 when auctions saw his works fetch prices above USD 2 million. Ever since, these works, which have appeared on the market irregularly, have often caused substantial interest on the part of international buyers with sales doubling or even tripling pre­‐auction estimates.

The total value of Zao Wou‐Ki’s 36 artworks in Skate’s Top 5000 is USD 132.4 million. 2011 was the strongest year in the history of his market with the total value of artworks entering Skate’s rating reaching USD 36 million.

Artworks by Zao Wou‐Ki have been sold at four key auction houses, including Poly International Auction, Ravenel, Sotheby’s and Christie’s. The latter accounts for 53% of the value of Zao Wou­‐Ki’s premium works sold.

Click here to download the full Market Note with data >>


Skate’s Art Investment Review – February 2013

February 22, 2013

This issue of Skate’s Art Investment Review focuses on the most important auction results in February and provides a detailed comparison of performance this year versus 2012. This issue also contains Skate’s insights into the latest performance of art funds.

In this Issue:

  • February 2013 Contributes USD 0.5 billion in Premium Quality Art, a 10% Gain Over 2012
  • Impressionist and Modern Art Holds 65% of Value in the Premium Market Segment
  • Premium Segment of Contemporary Art Market Grows by 27% and Sees More Frequent Change of Hands
  • Art Sales in February 2013 Confirm Investment Potential at the Top Level Previewwith ERR of 4.21%
  • Insights into Latest Art Funds Performance

Click here to download the February issue >>


Skate’s Annual Art Investment Report – Part 1

January 3, 2013

Welcome to Skate’s Annual Art Investment Report for 2012! This year, our report will be published in three parts. Part 1 focuses on Skate’s Top 5000 ranking of the world’s most valuable works of art by public auction price. We examine the changes that took place in this premium segment by addressing market performance in comparison with 2011, specifically with regard to artist rankings, sales volume and value, repeat sales (i.e., investment performance), and general changes in the structure the ranking.

Part 2, which will be published in early January, addresses the global art industry. Analysis is focused on companies in the art industry (e.g., auction houses, dealerships, e-commerce platforms, and media businesses), art investment funds, art financial services, and publicly traded art industry companies (i.e., the companies comprising Skate’s Art Stocks Index). It also covers many of the challenges faced by art industry companies.

Part 3, which will be published in the middle of January, covers Skate’s predictions for 2013, including those related to the premium segment of the art market (Skate’s Top 5000) and the global art industry.

Click here to download Part 1

Annual Report


Monthly Art Investment Ideas – December 2012

December 3, 2012

This issue of Skate’s Art Investment Review focuses on the most important November results as well as on a major upcoming December Sotheby’s auction devoted to Old Masters.

In this Issue:

  • November 2012 Auction Results: Higher Value Art with Lower Investment Returns
  • Vedutisti – Art Historical Value Does Not Guarantee Investment Potential
  • Celebrity Portraits by Andy Warhol: Men, Women and Himself
  • Top 3 Art Investment Ideas for December 2012
    • Bernardo Bellotto: Venice, the Grand Canal: looking south-west, from the Rial Bridge to the Palazzo Foscari   
    • Gaspar van Wittel: Rome, a view of the river Tiber at the Porto della Legna looking towards Castel Sant’Angelo, with Saint Peter’s Basilica in the distance
    • Francesco Guardi: Venice, the Punta della Dogana

To read the full report, please click here.

 


Monthly Art Investment Ideas – November 2012

November 13, 2012

This issue of Skate’s Art Investment Review focuses on the most important auction results in October, as well as major upcoming sales at Christie’s and Sotheby’s.

In this Issue:

  • October Sales Results: Entrants to Skate’s Top 5000
  • Andy Warhol Market Phenomenon
  • Celebrity Portraits by Andy Warhol: Men, Women and Himself
  • Top 3 Art Investment Ideas for November 2012
    • Marlon by Andy Warhol   
    • Flowers by Andy Warhol
    • Hammer and sickle by Andy Warhol
  • Investment Benchmarks of the Warhol Market

To read the full report, please click here.

 


Monthly Art Investment Ideas – July 2012

July 2, 2012

This issue of Skate’s Art Investment Review focuses on the most important auction results in June, as well as major upcoming sales at Christie’s and Sotheby’s.

In this Issue:

  • New Entries to Skate’s Top 5000 in June
  • Old Masters Market: Significant Downturn in Demand Signifies Low Investment Potential
  • Top 3 Art Investment Ideas for July 2012
    • Willem van de Velde The Younger: A Calm – A smalschip and a kaag at anchor with an English man-o’-war beyond
    • Willem van de Velde The Younger: The Surrender of the Royal Prince During The Four Days’ Battle, 1st – 4th June 1666
    • Joseph Mallord William Turner, R.A.: Mont Blanc from Fort Roch, Val d’Aosta

To read the full report, please click here.


Monthly Art Investment Ideas – June 2012

June 22, 2012

This issue of Skate’s Art Investment Review focuses on the major upcoming June auctions at Christie’s and Sotheby’s.

In this Issue:

  • May Sales Results: Contemporary, Impressionist & Modern, Chinese
  • Investment Results in May
  • Investing in the Idea: Lucio Fontana, Yves Klein, and Piero Manzoni
  • Top 5 Art Investment Ideas for June2012
    • Concetto spaziale, Attese by Lucio Fontana
    • Concetto spaziale, Attese by Lucio Fontana
    • Anthropométrie (ANT 49) by Yves Klein
    • ANT 135 by Yves Klein
    • Achrome by Piero Manzoni

To read the full report, please click here.


Poly: In Start of Global Expansion, a Quiet Power Establishes Permanent New York Presence

May 15, 2012

Beijing Poly International Auction Co. Ltd is not even seven years old, but it is the world’s third largest auction house, selling RMB 12.2 billion worth of art (USD 1.9 billion) in 2011. It remains in the third spot so far this year, trailing behind Sotheby’s and Christie’s in terms of trading volume.

Skate’s covered the rise of Poly on July 26, 2011, and this week we learned the latest updates from the company concerning their strategy and vision going forward.

So far Poly’s business has been squarely focused on Asia, specifically on China where the absolute majority of its art-buying clients reside. The firm acknowledges that its meteoric rise could have not been possible without backing from its parent, China Poly Group Corporation, a diversified state-owned holding group with commercial interests in industries ranging from arms to culture. This support, which includes funding for the Poly Art Museum—the largest corporate museum in China—has helped to build up domestic demand for the Chinese artworks that are Poly’s primary offering. It is also helping Poly to achieve its first strategic objective, which has been to put Beijing on the map as one of the world’s art trading capitals.

Poly currently trades in four auction categories: ancient Chinese art and calligraphy, pre-modern art and calligraphy, contemporary art, and antiques. It does well in each of these categories, eating away market share from the world’s major auction houses in the Chinese art segment (the fastest growing globally) and efficiently blocking attempts of smaller rivals like Philips with their BRIC strategy to venture in the category.

Poly’s strategy was timed perfectly. The surge of Chinese art acquisitions could have brought a bounty of revenue and profitability growth to international auctioneers, but instead thanks to efforts from Poly and smaller auctions like China Guardian (incidentally, a name that is itself very characteristic of a Chinese art market strategy) it helped to create a powerful domestic art auction industry in the emerging world’s superpower. This new Chinese industry now intends to go global; China Guardian was the first to set up operations in New York, and Poly has just followed.

Beijing Poly International Auction Co. Ltd is smart in its approach to global expansion. It began by educating the global art market community about the strength of its domestic distribution capabilities for Chinese art. Just a few years ago when Christie’s wanted to auction famous fountainhead bronzes in Paris it ran into considerable controversy as official China attempted to block the sale. The Chinese now put forward purely economic arguments for consignors—why consign important Chinese works to global auctions if Chinese auctioneers offer better sales channels? Poly has spared no expense in proving this point, sending its marketing team to European cities this summer to educate potential consigners about the company’s distribution capabilities. Poly intends to play aggressively in New York as well, having purchased real estate for its New York headquarters on West 44th Street and establishing a fully staffed office to focus on U.S. expansion, specifically the sourcing of Chinese material from the vast community of U.S.-resident Chinese and American collectors of Chinese art, clearly the largest international source of Chinese works of art.

This strategy will work. Poly should be recognized as a lasting and increasingly global force in the international auction business. Move ahead four or five years, and Beijing Poly International Auction Co. Ltd will greatly dominate the global trade in Chinese art by adding a strong client roster of international consigners to its domestic Chinese buy-side clientele, the firm’s original competitive advantage. This growth will set the stage for Poly to challenge the high-end market oligopoly of Sotheby’s and Christie’s. Unless the powerful duo of global auctions established in the 18th century finds a way to defend its market position and discover new sources of growth, the seven year-old Chinese rival will increasingly depress Sotheby’s and Christie’s equity story well before it starts hiring away key employees in New York.

We continue to expect that Poly will go public soon. Although Beijing Poly International Auction Co. Ltd officials declined to comment on the matter, it really does make sense for Poly to float its shares as it starts Western expansion. It could benefit from exceptionally favorable valuations for art stocks, as was recently proven by the IPOs of Abbey House in Poland and Weng Fine Art in Germany. That said, the art market is not the place where one necessarily needs to be transparent about ownership. We just observed Frieze get away with its entry into the New York art fair market without even being asked about the funding sources behind the lavish Randall Island extravaganza. Frieze is notoriously secretive about its beneficial owners, and in that context Poly can well be called a model of transparency: it is a Chinese government sponsored international expansion of the art trade and Chinese cultural mission executed by a Beijing-headquartered firm beneficially owned by Chinese state. It’s as simple as that. Now, the company is in New York.

To read the full article with data, please click here.


Last Night’s All-Time Record: Edvard Munch’s The Scream Sells for $119.9 Million, Six Other Works Fetch Prices Exceeding $10 Million

May 3, 2012

Since the official announcement that Edvard Munch’s pastel painting The Scream would be presented for auction at Sotheby’s, it is difficult to imagine a time when there have been more expert predictions, social discussions and media coverage dedicated to a single work of art. The Scream obviously generated a great deal of interest on the part of top buyers from around the globe, as the Sotheby’s sale saw approximately seven collectors competing for ownership. As a result, the artwork’s final price nearly tripled the modest starting bid of $40 mln to bring $119.9 mln, the highest figure ever paid for a work of art at a public auction. While the buyer has yet to be announced, the money is stated to fund several Norwegian real estate projects.

Skate’s is particularly proud to announce that our preliminary estimate for the artwork provided to The Wall Street Journal proved to be correct. On April 26, we were quoted as forecasting a final sale price of $92.5–123.4 mln on the basis of an accurate peer group assigned to the work and the irrational premium that we calculated.

The full article can be found at the following link:

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303592404577364321881780342

With all of the excitement surrounding the sale that made history, it is easy to overlook the fact that several other significant sales that took place during the past couple of days at Christie’s and Sotheby’s, including six others that sold for prices exceeding $10 mln.

To read our full issue of Skate’s Market Notes, including data, please click here.


Monthly Art Investment Ideas – May 2012

May 1, 2012

This issue of Skate’s Art Investment Review is dedicated to the market for sculpture and focuses on the major upcoming May auctions at Christie’s and Sotheby’s.

In this Issue:

  • April Entries to Skate’s Top 5000
  • Repeat Sales Forecast for May
  • Premium Segment of the Sculpture Market: Cherry Picking Investments
  • Top 5 Art Investment Ideas for May 2012
    • Constantin Brancusi, Prométhée
    • Alexander Calder, Un noir et en jaune
    • Auguste Rodin, Le baiser, 1ère reduction
    • Henry Moore, Reclining figure
    • Alberto Giacometti, Buste de Diego

To read the full report, please click here.


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