Publicly Traded Art Dealer: Let’s Try Once More… Weng Fine Art AG Listed on Frankfurt Stock Exchange, Achieves 29.4% Single Day Price JumpWeng Fine Art AG Included in Skate’s Art Stock Index Effective January 3

January 3, 2012

The proud city of Krefeld, located in the heartland of German manufacturing, lost its last publicly traded company on March 16, 2009 when the locally headquartered industrial conglomerate Jagenberg AG decided to go private. Had the citizens of Krefeld been asked what industry would return them to the global map of listed companies, common answers would likely have focused on new technologies, high precision manufacturing, top quality steel, chemicals, new materials and other areas for which North Rhine-Westphalia is famous. Such suggestions would have been wrong, however, as the Krefeld based company that went public today is an art dealer.

Although unexpected for Krefeld, North Rhine-Westphalia is not necessarily a strange place to host a successful art dealer. “The old money” German land is rivaled only by Bavaria in terms of wealth concentration and significant art collections. Krefeld is a short 20-minute drive from Düsseldorf, a vibrant global city of culture. The area is certainly a fertile ground for building an art business, and Weng Fine Art AG has clearly seized a major opportunity.

Please click here to read the full article with data.


Global Art Industry: Annual Report for 2011 and Outlook for 2012

December 30, 2011

Welcome to Skate’s Annual Art Investment Report — published by Skate’s Art Market Research since 2006, this report covers global art market trends and provides forecasts for the coming year. In the first part of the report, we have looked at art market as consumer good industry and ranked online art trading platforms operating around the world – Please click here to read Skate’s Annual Report Part 1.
In this second part we focus on the high end of global art market and global art industry companies performance in 2011:

  • Skate’s Top 5000 total value reached $30.5 billion, and the ranking’s threshold price broke the $2 million level.
  • Average annualized investment returns on the world’s masterpieces peaked at 4.82%, confirming the strong performance of exceptional artworks amidst global economic turmoil.
  • Skate’s Art Stock Index had its worst year since 2008, losing 15% in value in 2011. This performance came despite robust auction volumes, with the index’s flagship stock Sotheby’s shedding over one-third of its value in 2011, producing a -35.5% return for its shareholders for the year as of December 23, 2011.

Please click here to read the full article with data.


New Art Industry Stock to be Listed in Germany; Mallett Continues to Bleed; Abbey Gets 38 New Investors in Art Fund; Some New Data about Mysterious Fotoeffect

December 13, 2011

New Art Industry Stock to be Listed in Germany

Polish Abbey House’s very successful IPO earlier this year (the firm’s share price is up 270% in PLN terms since May) was clearly an inspiration for many art industry entrepreneurs. Skate’s has learned that at least one such entrepreneur is about to follow with a listing shortly; Weng Fine Art AG, a well-established art dealer from Krefeld, Germany is set to be the first listing on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange in 2012 when its shares will be admitted to trading on January 3, 2012. Skate’s is currently reviewing Weng Fine Art’s application to Skate’s Art Stock Index. If granted the firm would become the 14th constituent company in the index and the second after artnet to come from Germany (another German firm, Berlin-based photography dealer and fund CameraWork, was excluded from the index earlier this year due to lack of trading).

Weng Fine Art is an international art dealer focused on B2B art trading and established and managed by former financier Rüdiger Weng, who owns 87% of the firm’s shares with the balance owned by individual shareholders. The listing on January 3, 2012 will provide liquidity to those shareholders; no new equity offering is scheduled to take place at that time, although a capital increase for Weng Fine Art is likely to take place later in 2012 and will be executed in a form of a public offering on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.

Skate’s will publish its index decision together with a very detailed profile of Weng Fine Art AG on December 26, 2011.

Please click here to read the full article with data.


For Return-­Focused Collectors, November Auctions Make a Strong Case for Blue Chip Living Artists

November 14, 2011

Following October’s strong auction results, sales in November brought still more record prices, reflecting the robust conditions on the global art market. Successful sales of Impressionist and Modern art, which turned out more favorably for Sotheby’s than for Christie’s this time, were followed by a vast offering of Contemporary art from both leading auction houses. Apart from the numerous new records that were set for individual artists’ markets and mediums during these sales, the auctions’ repeat sales results and the impressive investment return figures deserve special focus, as they reflect even better the health of the market.

During the first two days of November, Skate’s Top 5000 saw 43 new entries from Sotheby’s and Christie’s Impressionist and Modern art sales; the total trading volume of these works stood at $277.7 mln. Eleven of these entries were repeat sales, which saw an incredibly high average effective rate of return (ERR) of 10.16%. The weighted average ERR for Skate’s Top 5000 artworks now stands at 4.88% on an annualized basis, which is an all-time high….

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Is There a Better Business Model for the Art Trade than the Auction House? Yes, There Is!

November 10, 2011

The traditional mismatch between Sotheby’s robust auction volumes and the firm’s third-quarter loss-making financials, which were released at the same time (this week, actually), causes us to pose a legitimate question: while the auction has clearly been the best art industry business model to date (eight of the 13 constituent companies in Skate’s Art Stock Index have art auctions contributing to at least part of their economics), one may wonder if there is a better way to make money in the art industry. Can a company do better than living from one peak season to another, losing money between auctions and staking a significant part of its fortune on a single week of trade several times a year?

Skate’s believes that yes, there is a better model out there. It is currently practiced in the low-key world of collectibles and has not yet migrated to fine art market. The fine art market would be better off if it did.

Please click here to read the full article.


artnet Results Disappoint, Minority Shareholder Increases Ownership Interest

November 3, 2011

artnet has released its financial results for nine months ending September 30, 2011. They are disappointing. The firm continues to be loss making, revenues remain flat and artnet’s major hope, online art auctions, produced just 12.8% growth on a y-t-y basis and remains its second largest loss making business unit (after its magazine publication business). Perhaps the only interesting new development at artnet came from its mandatory disclosure on changes in significant shareholdings; the company’s long-term minority investor—San Francisco-based Artis Capital Management LLC—doubled its ownership interest in artnet over the course of 2011 and now owns 15.13% of the firm.

Skate’s believes that artnet under Hans Neuendorf’s leadership is reaching a point where significant change might be needed, which could be stimulated by the rise of a potential activist shareholder. We met Mr. Neuendorf this week and learned that apart from a new analytics product launch the firm is planning for this December, everything else remains business as usual at 61 Broadway.

Please click here to read the full article.


Auction Houses Aim to Sell Art at Significantly Higher Prices, Supporting Auction Activity with a Higher Proportion of Guaranteed Bids

October 31, 2011

Skate’s Market Notes

On November 1, 2011 Skate’s will release its monthly report for November, which will focus on the major auctions scheduled for this week. Below is a short preview of our key findings:

  1. Four auction sessions in total (two each at Sotheby’s and Christie’s: Impressionist & Modern and Contemporary art) scheduled for this week are valued at between $822.5 million (at the low estimate of all lots) and $1,164.7 million (high estimate). The estimated mid-point value of all lots to be offered at these four auctions is $993.6 million (N.B. all values are before the buyer’s premium).
  2. Given that the number of lots in the auction catalogues is roughly the same as it was at the same time last year, the increase in value of the artworks offered, or, rather, the increase in the suggested sell price of the world’s most valuable art brought to the market by auctioneers this year, is notable. On a like-for–like basis the auction catalogues aim to sell 17.6% higher at the low end of the estimate range, 15.9% higher at the high end and 16.6% higher at the mid-point.
  3. The more generous art pricing by auction houses is also confirmed by the very rich implied effective rate of return (ERR) during repeat sales, i.e., those artworks that are returning to auction rooms after previous auction sales. Skate’s November report will profile five such repeat sales and list an additional seven artworks with estimated ERR ranges. The mid-point expected ERR on repeat sales will, if realized, significantly increase Skate’s Top 5000 average of 4.6% per annum. Certain works by Shishkin, Leger and Derain are particularly richly priced, implying double-digit annualized ERRs for their sellers.
  4. This fall, auction houses will get the best of both worlds by combining their private dealing business model with the auction house format. In working with their best clients, auctioneers have managed to significantly increase the proportion of lots with guaranteed bids in their catalogues. They have done so without significantly increasing their own financial exposure, as they have largely relied on third-party bids. In the more risky Contemporary art auctions both Sotheby’s and Christie’s will begin their sales with more than a third of the offered volume covered by guaranteed bids at the low (or lower) estimate level. This is a remarkable change in comparison to the same auctions a year earlier—Sotheby’s share of lots with guaranteed bids (calculated at the low end of estimate range) jumped from 13.1% for November 2010 auctions to 35.2% for the same auctions in 2011; for Christie’s the figure rose from 13.5% for 2010 to 37.9% in 2011.
  5. Where the two auction houses diverge is in their strategy regarding the Impressionist & Modern art catalogues: Christie’s now has 11.1% of lots covered with guaranteed bids (10.3% last year) and Sotheby’s has none (8% last year). It will be interesting to see whether this strategy will produce materially better results for Christie’s Impressionist sale this week.

To read the full report, please click here.


Citibank Initiates Coverage of Sotheby’s, Names Skate’s Among Research Partners

October 19, 2011

Skate’s is pleased to announce that Citibank, specifically the Citigroup Investment Research division, has recently launched investment coverage of Sotheby’s (NYSE:BID). This marks the first time that this leading financial institution has devoted specific coverage to Sotheby’s.

Citi’s coverage of Sotheby’s is welcome on several levels. First, it provides further acknowledgement of a reality that Skate’s has long espoused, i.e., that art and the securities of companies that provide art-related products and services afford institutional and individual investors with a viable alternative asset choice. Second, as the largest publicly-traded art industry company in the world, the high liquidity of Sotheby’s shares allows investors an excellent opportunity to invest in a leading participant in the art market without the costs and risks involved in actual art ownership.

Authored by Oliver Chen, CFA, and Kate McShane, CFA, Citi’s research on Sotheby’s—written according to top Wall Street standards—offers a refreshing and professional analysis of the auction house business model and its upside potential. Skate’s fully welcomes any research and analysis from major financial institutions focused on the art industry. Although we remain a bit more bullish about Sotheby’s, we find Citi’s analysis extremely interesting. Citi’s initiation of Sotheby’s coverage is a very healthy event for the global art industry.

Please click here to read the full article.


First October sales results: Christie’s triumphs in contemporary art; Sotheby’s dominates Italian sales

October 18, 2011

Of all the contemporary sales that took place in London during the week of the Frieze Art Fair, Christie’s results most certainly place the auction house in the leading position. The results of Christie’s evening sale on October 14, which saw a total trading volume of $59,896,712, were double those of its closest follower Sotheby’s, which brought $28,028,014 in sales. Nearly half of Christie’s lots sold above their estimate ranges, with the most impressive result of the week achieved by German artist Gerhard Richter’s Kerze (Candle). With a record-setting final price of $16.5 mln, it sold well above its pre-auction high estimate of $14 mln. The previous record for a work by Richter was set by another Kerze (Candle), which sold at Sotheby’s in 2008 for $15.7 mln.

Along with contemporary sales, the two leading auction houses also held sales of Italian art. The Italian sale turned out to be more successful for Sotheby’s, and its results even exceeded those of its contemporary evening sale. Sotheby’s Italian sale totaled $34,085,892, slightly more than the $27,652,992 that was achieved at Christie’s. It is worth noting that many lots significantly exceeded their estimates and entered Skate’s Top 5000, which currently has a threshold price of $2 mln. Of the 14 total works that entered Skate’s Top 5000 in October, six were by Italian artists.

To read the full article with data, click here.


Collectibles: Even Better Than Art Following Noble Investments’ Inclusion into Skate’s Art Stock Index, Three Art Industry Stocks Now Represent Collectibles Category

September 20, 2011

Following the overhaul of Skate’s Art Stock Index (SASI) conducted on September 1, 2011 and announced the day before (click here for story) the index now has three companies representing the collectibles category. Collectors Universe and Noble Investments operate predominantly in the numismatics sector, and Stanley Gibbons primarily covers stamps. Following all three companies’ recent six months financial reporting (Collectors Universe reported annual results as its fiscal year ends on June 30), we provide a comparative analysis that shows each company with an enviable business model that generates a strong cash flow despite continued global economic turbulence.

To read the full article with data, click here.


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